Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.006114 0.006803 0.007553 0.008431 0.009436 0.010553 0.011892
2025-06-22 0.005143 0.006113 0.007256 0.008714 0.010538 0.012768 0.015730
2025-06-29 0.004421 0.005478 0.006789 0.008556 0.010906 0.013971 0.018350
2025-07-06 0.003897 0.004987 0.006394 0.008376 0.011145 0.014956 0.020743
2025-07-13 0.003550 0.004672 0.006169 0.008361 0.011560 0.016183 0.023609
2025-07-20 0.003341 0.004509 0.006120 0.008563 0.012280 0.017910 0.027464
2025-07-27 0.003087 0.004255 0.005910 0.008496 0.012575 0.019008 0.030470
2025-08-03 0.002887 0.004058 0.005758 0.008492 0.012949 0.020258 0.033913
2025-08-10 0.002690 0.003847 0.005563 0.008393 0.013149 0.021230 0.037001
2025-08-17 0.002550 0.003707 0.005462 0.008429 0.013568 0.022618 0.041090
2025-08-24 0.002392 0.003529 0.005285 0.008320 0.013719 0.023536 0.044403
2025-08-31 0.002226 0.003325 0.005049 0.008088 0.013620 0.023969 0.046784
2025-09-07 0.002119 0.003214 0.004966 0.008127 0.014052 0.025537 0.052059
2025-09-14 0.002064 0.003183 0.005014 0.008405 0.014975 0.028236 0.060558
2025-09-21 0.001938 0.003026 0.004836 0.008254 0.015040 0.029170 0.065075
2025-09-28 0.001820 0.002876 0.004656 0.008081 0.015041 0.029963 0.069420
2025-10-05 0.001739 0.002780 0.004565 0.008067 0.015363 0.031511 0.076136
2025-10-12 0.001695 0.002746 0.004581 0.008260 0.016145 0.034244 0.086880
2025-10-19 0.001617 0.002648 0.004473 0.008197 0.016359 0.035656 0.094183
2025-10-26 0.001553 0.002571 0.004398 0.008192 0.016703 0.037444 0.103177
2025-11-02 0.001483 0.002478 0.004285 0.008098 0.016828 0.038691 0.110802
2025-11-09 0.001433 0.002419 0.004235 0.008133 0.017261 0.040828 0.122149
2025-11-16 0.001371 0.002333 0.004126 0.008029 0.017347 0.042031 0.130586